The Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process was built for interest rates. Its real strength — staying positive as noise vanishes near zero — turns out to be exactly what rainfall modelling needs.
Mathematical Modeling
When Neurons Forget: The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process in Neuroscience
The leaky integrate-and-fire neuron — the workhorse model of computational neuroscience — is an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in disguise. Here is why that matters.
What Agent-Based Models See That Regressions Miss
Standard regression conflates micro configurations that produce identical macro observables. Four classical examples — wealth concentration from random exchange, Schelling segregation, phantom traffic jams, and bank runs — show that genuine causal structure can be i…
The Mean Field Game of Mediocrity
Mean field game theory gives mediocracy a precise formulation: when conformity pressure exceeds rank incentive, the coupled HJB–Fokker–Planck system has a concentrated Nash equilibrium. A phase transition separates dispersed outcomes from universal indistinction.
Agent-Based Models in the Peanut Butter Industry
Any market with heterogeneous agents, inventory dynamics, and competitive pricing produces emergent behavior that ABM is built to capture. Peanut butter turns out to be a surprisingly clean example.
ABM or MFG? The Cases Where the Answer Is Not Clear
Agent-based models and mean field games are often presented as alternatives. In practice, a significant share of real problems sit between them — and recognizing that grey zone is the first step toward modeling it correctly.